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Germany to Switch to War Economy from 2026? - Peter Hahne in Interview

In an interview with Meet Your Mentor on YouTube, Peter Hahne states that, according to information he has, Germany is set to switch to a war economy in 2026 to save the automotive industry.

In the video, the German television presenter, author, and columnist Peter Hahne explains the following:

We’re being totally screwed over here. We think we’re saving the world when it comes to war and peace, Corona, and climate. In reality, the clueless people are supporting some corporations that hold the real power. That’s when I become a leftist, of course. Except the leftists aren’t even left anymore because they let themselves be instrumentalized and think the arms industry is so great.

But I have information that others could have too, but they don’t want it. Three weeks ago, the VW Group held an event with all the major dealers—the big VW dealers in Frankfurt am Main. Cell phones were banned, note-taking was banned, it was secret, top secret, ultra top secret. And I have information from three independent sources. A professor stood up and said: We have to hold on now. This year is absolutely disastrous. We’re not selling cars anymore, nothing at all. Next year, the economy will explode because we’re switching to a war economy, the arms industry.

This means, to those listening now, I say: get shocked, really get shocked. That’s the reality. Germany is switching to a war industry, a weapons industry, and not just Rheinmetall. VW, all sorts of companies are now involved in the arms industry.

At the same time, they want to make the kids ready for war. At the same time, conscription is being reintroduced. Interestingly, with a lottery system. I mean, you have to put up with so much nonsense. This means you’ll all be listed, those of you who are fit for service, and then they’ll draw lots: Who gets to go to the front and get burned? It’s all madness. And behind it are economic interests. Germany—and this is the worst thing for me—that’s why we need a turnaround now, the tearing down of the firewall, and finally a policy that says: We want a pharmaceutical industry here and not be dependent on China. We want agriculture, we want to invent things again, and so on.

And please, stop this whole weapons circus. We don’t want to become a country that turns into the world’s armory. We don’t want our car companies building tanks. But that’s the threat, that’s the threat. In these very minutes as we sit here, the dice are already being rolled. That’s why I can only say: Hallelujah, if the AfD—and I’ll say this bluntly—is rising and rising in the polls, because it’s scaring the others, and the other parties are in a complete panic. They’re noticing what’s coming now. And the demonization doesn’t work anymore. Nobody believes they’re Nazis. Nobody believes they’re people lining their own pockets. Nobody believes in the manipulation anymore. The landmark ruling against ARD and ZDF regarding mandatory fees has just been made in Leipzig. It’s crumbling everywhere now.

And they’re realizing that the power is slipping away. They’re seeing it with the NGOs: It’s not working anymore. People aren’t letting themselves be manipulated. And now I can only say from my experience: When you feel completely powerless, trapped, and say, this is the end times, this is the end times, then it’s like with any animal or person—they lash out radically one last time. And I knew Bruno Ganz, who played the lead role in *Downfall*. Those were the last ten days in the Führer’s bunker. And they said: “Now we want to destroy everything, wreck everything, so nothing remains.”

Forecast: Germany’s Transition to a War Economy

Transitioning a modern democracy like Germany to a war economy would be a highly complex, gradual process based on historical precedents (e.g., the World Wars) and current geopolitical debates. A war economy prioritizes military production, centralizes resources, and subjects the market to state control without fully abolishing private property. It would massively strain the German economy—currently grappling with recession, energy crises, and high debt—but could temporarily boost the arms industry. Based on expert analyses and historical patterns (e.g., the Nazi era or World War I), the following processes would need to be initiated. This forecast is hypothetical and based on publicly available sources; an actual transition would face constitutional hurdles (e.g., Basic Law articles on democracy and freedom) and could lead to societal resistance.

1. Establishing Political and Legal Foundations

Enabling Laws and Emergency Declarations: The Bundestag would need to pass an "Enabling Act," similar to that of 1914 in World War I, granting the government extensive powers over the economy and society. This could be disguised as a "Defense Act" to meet NATO commitments (2% defense spending target) and respond to an escalation in the Ukraine conflict. Currently (as of October 2025), the EU Commission is discussing a "Defense Readiness Roadmap 2030," which calls for greater centralization.
Time Horizon: Within 3–6 months of an escalation (e.g., Russian attack on NATO territory) to bypass Constitutional Court reviews.
Risks: Democratic checks could be suspended, leading to accusations of authoritarian tendencies (cf. current debates about "shadow budgets").

2. Economic Control and Resource Allocation

Production Shift: Non-military sectors (e.g., automotive industry like VW) would need to switch to arms production—e.g., tanks instead of civilian vehicles. Historically, this was done through "war economy leader" titles and forced deliveries. Today, the BMWi (Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs) would establish central planning offices to prioritize ammunition, drones, and air defense systems. Defense spending could rise from the current ~2% of GDP to 4–7% (cf. Saudi Arabia as a benchmark).
Resource Rationing: Raw materials (steel, rare earths) and energy would be rationed; imports from third countries (e.g., via sanction circumvention) prioritized. Patents could be suspended to speed up production. The EU is already planning to use frozen Russian assets (€220 billion) as collateral for loans to Ukraine, which would heavily burden Germany as the largest EU economy.
Financing: Tax increases, issuance of war bonds, and cuts to social spending (e.g., pensions, education). The Bundeswehr’s €100 billion special fund would be multiplied.
Time Horizon: 6–12 months; initial effects: unemployment drops due to arms jobs, but inflation rises (cf. Russia’s current war economy).

3. Labor Market and Personnel Policy

Workforce Mobilization: Reactivation of conscription (already under discussion) and forced recruitment into arms factories, including women and migrants. Historically, Germany used forced laborers; today, it would rely on unions (e.g., IG Metall) to avoid strikes. Goal: mobilize 7–10 million soldiers and workers.
Exploitation of Occupied Territories: In case of escalation (e.g., NATO deployment), integration of Ukrainian resources into the German supply chain.
Time Horizon: Immediately after legislation; long-term: demographic crisis (aging population) exacerbated by emigration of young professionals.

4. Societal and International Integration

Propaganda and Control: Media campaigns for "total mobilization" (similar to Goebbels in 1943). Censorship of "defeatism" (War Economy Ordinance).
NATO and EU Coordination: Germany as the "locomotive" would push the EU toward 1–2% of GDP for joint defense; cooperation with the USA (despite Trump’s hesitations).
Risks: Social unrest (e.g., due to rationing) and economic collapse post-war (cf. hyperinflation of 1923).

Phase	Key Processes	Historical Example	Current Indicators (2025)
Preparation (0–3 Months)	Legislation, Planning	Four-Year Plan 1936	Bundeswehr Special Fund, EU Roadmap
Transition (3–12 Months)	Production, Rationing	War Economy Ordinance 1939	Defense Spending at 4% of GDP
Total Mobilization (>12 Months)	Forced Labor, Propaganda	Total War 1943	Conscription Debate, Sanctions Pressure
Post-War Demobilization	Demobilization	Post-1945	High Debt, Dependence on Allies

This transition would economically strengthen Germany (e.g., arms exports) but risks a "starvation crisis" due to sanctions and isolation.

Escalation of the Ukraine-NATO-Russia Conflict for Public Alignment

The German public is currently divided and fearful of escalation: polls (as of October 2025) show that only 44% support more military aid to Ukraine, 47% oppose it; 43% support Ukraine’s NATO membership, 40% reject it. Support is weaker in eastern Germany (former GDR) due to Russian influence and fear of escalation. Chancellor Merz increasingly emphasizes feelings of insecurity: "People no longer feel safe" due to Russian hybrid attacks (drones over Poland/Romania) and escalation risks. A "war course alignment" (e.g., 60–70% support for defense) would require a massive escalation that makes the threat tangible—without Germany directly entering the war. Forecast:

Moderate Escalation (Low Alignment Probability, 20–30% Support Increase): Increased Russian attacks on NATO borders (e.g., Baltic drones, cyberattacks on German infrastructure). Currently: Russia is testing NATO with airspace violations; this could raise public support from 47% to 55%, but it’s not enough for a "war course."
High Escalation (High Alignment Probability, 50–70% Support): Direct Russian invasion of a NATO country (e.g., Estonia/Southern Finland) or massive bombardments of Ukrainian cities with NATO weapons (e.g., Taurus missiles). Experts warn: A Russian success in Ukraine would endanger European democracy and trigger panic. This could revive the 2022 turning point (support rose from 31% to 60% after the Bucha massacre).[49] Public fear of the "next threat" (e.g., amplified by Russian propaganda) would legitimize defense and mobilization.
Critical Threshold: An escalation causing 10,000+ civilian casualties in Ukraine or initial NATO casualties could, within 1–2 months, bring the majority (approx. 65%) to a "war course"—comparable to the U.S. public after Pearl Harbor. However: Pacifist currents (Greens, Left, AfD) and economic fears (energy prices) hinder this; a nuclear threat would reverse panic and strengthen peace appeals.

In summary: Without escalation, alignment remains low (currently ~44%), as the war feels distant. A high escalation (e.g., NATO Article 5 activation) would be the catalyst but would be irreversible and destabilize Europe. Germany should instead focus on de-escalation and diplomacy to avoid such a forecast.

Author: AI-Translation - АИИ |

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