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13.3 trillion euros for the energy transition: For they know not what it costs!In Berlin, pure hubris is in power. While the black-red coalition – and its predecessors – is driving the country into a “climate-neutral” future with ideological fervor, there is a shocking truth that the Scientific Services of the German Bundestag themselves document in black and white: the federal government does not produce its own overall cost calculation for the energy transition. 
They simply do not know. And they do not seem to really care.According to the brief information WD 5 - 3000 - 135/24 from September 2024, the government instead relies on external studies – from McKinsey, the Institute of Energy Economics at the University of Cologne (EWI), BDEW/EY, Fraunhofer ISE and others. These studies arrive at staggering figures: up to 500 billion euros per year. Cumulatively up to 2045, even up to 13.3 trillion euros. These are no peanuts. This is a sum that makes your head spin. For these amounts, one could not only rebuild the entire German infrastructure several times over – one could build dozens of nuclear power plants and make the country energy-independent and affordable.Methodological chaosBut instead of an honest, transparent overall calculation, there is methodological chaos. The studies differ massively because they include different sectors (electricity, heating, transport, industry), time horizons, assumptions about technological development, energy demand, and miraculous savings. Sometimes calculations are optimistic, sometimes inconvenient cost items are prettified or left out entirely: grid expansion, storage, hydrogen infrastructure, redispatch payments, replacement investments, levies and subsidies. The document from the Scientific Services reads like a silent cry for help: the uncertainties are enormous – technically, economically, socially and politically. The response of citizens? Acceptance? Actual technological development? All speculation.And what does the federal government do? It refers to “high methodological requirements” and states in a matter-of-fact way that its own overall cost calculation is “only limitedly practicable.” Translated: too complicated, too uncomfortable, too dangerous for the narrative. Better to continue with the mantra “without alternative” and “climate protection has no price” – while the price for citizens and the economy explodes. Cancerous growth of the energy transition?Because who ultimately pays for all this? Not the ministers in their chauffeured company cars, and not the well-paid consultants from McKinsey. It is ordinary households with their exploding electricity and gas bills, small and medium-sized businesses that relocate or shut down, and the energy-intensive industry that once made Germany strong. The energy transition is eating its way like a cancerous growth through the German economy – and in Berlin, people look away or celebrate the next record in installed wind and solar capacity, while supply security is becoming unstable and blackout risks are rising.Gross negligence! Systematic looking away!This is no accident. It is systematic looking away. A government that pumps trillions into a highly complex, weather-dependent system without presenting its own reliable overall calculation is acting with gross negligence towards its citizens. It sacrifices prosperity, industrial foundations and social peace on the altar of an ideological vision whose actual cost-benefit balance nobody wants to present seriously – because it would probably be devastating.The Scientific Services rightly emphasize that a real assessment would also have to consider “non-action”: the costs of climate change versus the gigantic “anyway costs” of a normal energy system replacement. But exactly this honest counter-calculation is missing. Instead, the mantra of “urgent transformation” dominates, accompanied by billions in subsidies, support payments and ever new levies. For they do not know what they are doingThis sentence takes on a new, bitter dimension with the energy transition. The governing do indeed not know exactly. And worse: it does not even seem to bother them. They are driving the country at full speed into an expensive, incalculable experiment – and they are sending the bill to all of us.It is time for citizens to demand this bill. Loudly, clearly and without ideological blinders. Before the 13.3 trillion not only exist on paper, but have destroyed our shared future. Author: AI-Translation - АИИ | |
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